Redefining a Mobile Service Provider

There is a paradox at the heart of the mobile telecom industry. Despite skyrocketing data use and proliferation of connected devices, the industry is facing a structural crisis that raises serious questions about its sustainability and growth. With mobile penetration rates in almost all markets well above 100 percent, competition among MNOs has grown fiercer and more focused on price reductions. Traditional sources of revenue have been undercut by OTT services such as WhatsApp and Skype. The increase in consumer data usage has been a mixed blessing in that it has placed pressure on operators to make expensive improvements to the capacity and coverage of their networks. Finally, national regulators have become increasingly activist with regard to pricing, M&A activity and service requirements, further increasing costs for providers.

In the face of this paradox—increasingly large amounts of money flowing through the mobile industry while operator revenues grow ever flatter—we expect to see new business models, revenue drivers, pricing strategies and even leading players. Ultimately, the results of these changes could be the redefinition of the term “mobile service provider.” We have already begun to witness the first steps of this process. MNOs have worked to reevaluate their core offerings in order to find new sources of revenue or to reduce churn. The defining trait of 2014 was MNOs’ drive to acquire the infrastructure needed to offer converged packages. Operators around the world—but particularly in the hypercompetitive European markets—pushed to lock in customers and raise monthly spending by offering quad (mobile, fixed voice, broadband and cable television) packages. Further, non-core value-added elements like Spotify, Netflix and other content-driven services became increasingly important in plan construction, forcing operators to branch out into new partnerships and ventures.

A dramatic recent example of this occurred in the U.S. with Verizon’s US $4 billion acquisition of AOL—a play to secure AOL’s mobile ad software, more proprietary content and new revenue streams in an increasingly competitive market. This type of news is an illustration of how the distinction between content creators, information aggregators, device manufacturers and service providers continues to grow blurrier. Just as we expect mobile operators to be packaging more non-traditional features in with their mobile packages, we believe that there is an opportunity for other types of companies to enter the mobile services space and use these services as a way to augment their traditional packages.

With Facebook’s acquisition of WhatsApp and Google’s ever-expanding reach across all realms of digital life—including its recently launched U.S. MVNO running on the Sprint and T-Mobile networks and its discussions with Hutchison Whampoa for international expansion—we would not be surprised to see either of these entities begin to pivot increasingly into mobile service as an add-on to their traditional offers. While projects like Google Loon/Fiber and Facebook Zero made headlines before retreating from the industry consciousness, the economic conditions that initially drove these initiatives remain—giant internet content providers that have significantly higher margins are growing impatient with mobile and broadband providers’ ability to connect their potential customers. Further, MVNOs like FreedomPop are experimenting with new business models like ad-based data sales. Finally, whether through mesh networks, ever-expanding Wi-Fi hotspots or new technology solutions, MNOs’ hegemony over mobile data is likely to be challenged in the coming years. The high and growing demand for large volumes of fast data makes the industry a prime target for disruption if an adequate alternative presents itself.

There are so many variables in play that it is impossible to make a firm prediction as to the precise long-term evolution of the industry. However, this much is certain—for MNOs to be successful in the future they will have to be adaptive and flexible in terms of developing new revenue streams and fending off non-traditional rivals. Maintaining outmoded plan structures and customer acquisition strategies will almost inevitably lead to painful disruptions. The current structural and competitive environment have the potential to change the core MNO business model in a way not seen since the launch of the iPhone in 2007 and the beginning of the mobile-data revolution. As such, strategic choices made by operators in the coming years will have an outsized impact on the future of the industry as a whole.

Tarifica is the global leader in monitoring and analyzing telecom pricing. Covering hundreds of operators in every region of the globe, Tarifica’s databases of mobile and fixed line data and voice tariffs are among the largest and most in-depth in the world. Tarifica is also a leading publisher of benchmark and other pricing reports, and its analysts are recognized authorities in the telecom industry, relied upon by operators and businesses worldwide for pricing insight and guidance. Click here to contact a Tarifica Analyst

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Costa Rican Regulator Proposes Changes to Data Pricing

Costa Rican regulator Superintendencia de Telecomunicaciones (Sutel) has decided to hold a public consultation on the subject of the possible introduction of a flat rate for mobile internet services for postpaid consumers, based on the amount of data used. The scheduled date for the consultation is 1 July 2014, and Sutel will have one month to respond to the issues raised, after which it will make a decision on the proposed tariff plan. The scheme would involve users being charged a rate of CRC 0.0075 (US $0.0001) per KB regardless of transmission speed. Operators will also be obliged to offer a basic plan for CRC 3,750.00 (US $6.61) that would offer a data allowance of 500 MB, with the proposed data billing rate applying for excess usage. This method of pricing for data use has only been applied to the prepaid sector so far and was implemented by carriers as recently as mid-2013.

Since the liberalization of the telecom market in late 2011, Costa Rica has seen substantial growth in terms of subscriber numbers and competition. In a country where fixed broadband penetration is only around 10 percent, mobile devices are the primary source of internet access. A recent report from Sutel indicated that as of the end of June 2013, nearly 88 percent of Costa Rica’s 3.99 million internet users were mobile broadband subscribers. The number of mobile internet users grew by 86 percent from Q1 2012 to Q2 2013. In fact, with the increasing adoption of smartphones, data usage has also risen considerably. Now operators ICE, Claro and Movistar are faced with the same dilemma as other global operators—that of providing and maintaining quality of service while dealing with an increasingly congested network. ICE introduced a throttling threshold of 6 GB on its Kolbi 3G and 4G unlimited postpaid plans earlier in the year.

Operators in other markets around the world have found that an unlimited model is not sustainable in the medium to long term, especially if the operator has 4G. Many operators have used a 4G launch as an opportunity to move to a tiered data pricing structure. While such a model allows users to choose a plan that meets their needs, it also gives the operator the opportunity to upsell users who regularly exceed their data allowances. Many Costa Rican consumers have voiced concerns over this proposal because they are used to relying on unlimited mobile internet. However, if operators offer appropriately structured tiered plans, the average user may benefit from improved services and better cost control.

The above item appeared in a recent issue of The Tarifica Alert, a weekly resource that analyzes noteworthy developments in the telecoms industry from around the world. To access all of the latest articles and issues:  http://www.tarifica.com/TarificaAlert.aspx

Colruyt to Shutter Its MVNO

Colruyt Mobile, the MVNO of Belgian supermarket chain Colruyt, is halting its activities effective 2 July 2014. Its network host, Mobistar, will take over the Colruyt prepaid services and provide continuity of service to customers.

 Colruyt launched its MVNO in 2011, in an agreement with Mobistar, to target the low-cost prepaid market. However, the retailer has found it difficult to maintain its low prices in the current market, in which a sufficient number of customers is hard to come by. As of the end of 2013, Belgium had 40 MVNOs; of those, the top 10 had 93 percent of the market, and the other 30 (which included Colruyt) had only 7 percent. Clearly, the country now has too many MVNOs, and some of them will have to fall by the wayside.

The above item appeared in a recent issue of Tarifica's "The Story of The Week", a weekly report that analyzes two noteworthy developments in the telecoms industry from around the world. For past issues or to learn more about The Story of The Week :  http://www.tarifica.com/storyoftheweek.aspx

New York City Seeks to Replace Payphones with Free WiFi

New York City’s Department of Information Technology and Telecommunications (DoITT) has issued a request for proposals to build a citywide network of free WiFi hotspots. The public communication points will provide free calls to the emergency number 911 and the city information number 311. The winner will install, operate and maintain up to 10,000 public communication points distributed across the city’s five boroughs. These structures will replace and supplement the roughly 7,300 current public payphone installations. The hotspots must be set up within the next four years and will be funded mainly through digital advertising. The plan is projected to bring in US $17.5 million in guaranteed annual revenue for the City of New York through June 2026.

In terms of usage patterns and functionality, WiFi hotspots are the natural successor to the old-fashioned public phone, so this plan makes sense on that level. What is interesting here, though, is that they will be funded through advertising, unlike payphones, which are funded by direct payment from the user. The City of New York is taking a page from the public WiFi solutions being offered to commercial establishments such as malls and restaurants, which are ad-funded. Of course free access to 911 is a public good. Beyond that, though, it remains to be seen whether the city will allow data sharing to benefit businesses that want to target potential customers based on their usage patterns.

The above item appeared in a recent issue of Tarifica's "The Story of The Week", a weekly report that analyzes two noteworthy developments in the telecoms industry from around the world. For past issues or to learn more about The Story of The Week :  http://www.tarifica.com/storyoftheweek.aspx

Chinese Operators in Talks to Share Infrastructure

Responding to media rumors, China’s three largest telecommunications operators, China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom, have confirmed that they are in talks to set up a joint venture for the sharing of mobile infrastructure, with the approval of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. While the talks are still in the preliminary phase, the companies have indicated that the venture would be for the operation of existing base stations throughout the country as well as the construction of new ones, which the three operators would lease from the venture. The venture, likely to be known as the National Tower Company, will initially have up to US $1.6 billion of capital and will collect rent from the three operators. The idea of sharing network infrastructure makes a good deal of sense for China’s big three. Despite the rapid growth of the Chinese economy and the already huge numbers of customers these operators have, they are all facing challenges. Since the granting of 4G licenses by the Chinese government in December 2013, the operators have been facing the need for large capital expenditures to build out high-speed networks. China Mobile, the largest operator, reportedly plans to build 500,000 4G base stations by the end of 2014, while China Telecom intends to reach 250,000. In addition, all three providers are now operating in a more competitive environment, due to entrance into the marketplace of new entities. The government’s issuance of 19 MVNO licenses promises to shake up the Chinese mobile telecommunications landscape. In this context, the three traditional operators have a common interest in fostering better coverage and quality of service. Sharing the cost, will help all three—though it is likely China Telecom and China Unicom have more to gain here than China Mobile. While the plan should cut costs in the long run and accelerate the rollout of 4G, the initial investment will likely have a short term negative impact on profitability.

The above item appeared in a recent issue of Tarifica's "The Story of The Week", a weekly report that analyzes two noteworthy developments in the telecoms industry from around the world. For past issues or to learn more about The Story of The Week :  http://www.tarifica.com/storyoftheweek.aspx